Less than a week until the start of the Cheltenham festival, where the racing fans wait is no longer. It's going to be an epic week and I'm sure there will be many discussions after, looking at form-lines and where we were right and where we went wrong. My 3rd or 4th trip to Wincanton this Thursday and I'm hoping to make a few quid extra for Cheltenham next week. At the start of January, we had a great day at Ludlow leading to trials day, so a fine day tomorrow would be nice! Here are a few races tomorrow I will be looking at:
2.00 - The top horse Backhomeinderry hasn't had promising form over his recent handicap runs and Gleannacrem who is out of the handicap ran a poor rac ebehind Bellflower Boy aat odds of 200/1 last time out. Those two are passed over easily. Royal Peak who is the paper favourite hasn't showed much in his first 3 runs but steps up in trip today. I would like to see a bit more before picking this one. Could be a worthy winner however. Waarid has a 1038 day lay-off to overcome but has a few consistant runs next to his name. A maiden over hurdles still and a long lay-off convinces me that these two things tempt me to avoid him. Ceepeege is a course winner but he isn't one to rely on. The two I would like to do at the prices are FASHION WEEK who will enjoy the conditions after running on bad ground last twice and KEY TO MILAN who will be suited by the track, and although the step up in trip might prove a bit too much, but is more of a reliable sort than most and could figure.
2.30 - A small 4 runner race that includes some really nice sorts.The one runner we can dismiss is the winning pointer Midnight Whisper. Although he has a first and a second to his name, his hurdles form has been nothing special and looks like the early price of 25/1 is right for him. Palace Jester was a horse that wouldn't be a bad bet for Jonjo O'niell the last few seasons and he figures for David Pipe for the first time. He has entries at Cheltenham next week which could prove a good sign. With that in mind, he wouldn't be dismissed lightly but his previous chase form has been rather dull and I think his future runs will be a tad more successful for the 8 year old. The two that head the market are Ruben Cotter and Danimix. Both likeable wins for the two last time out, Ruben Cotter onviously not having a long career over hurdles and is a nice sort where Danimix will enjoy the ground. Not much of a price for RUBEN COTTER and I probably wont get too stuck in at his current odds (4/7) He looks to have a promising career and a forecast for the top two could be in-line.
3.00 - Again we rule out the top and bottom runners. Tiger O'Toole looks handicapped out of this and although Mighty Monty goes well fresh, this race is quite competitative and is some way behind a few of these on OR's. One of the selections that I have just looked at, remembered its previous course runs and looking at 'Right handed long galloping tracks', THE PIER form 'sticks out' quite well actually. Ran at the weekend, losing nothing in defeat and I dont see a reason why the track and conditions today with the young Anthony Fox claiming 10lbs can make him run a bad race. Looks very eye-catching indeed. Dragon's Den is behind Jumps Road on form and with no real reason to switch the form, he is overooked. The Paul Nicholls runner Suerte Al Salto still looks to be learning and he was a beaten favourite on his last run. No value at the moment there. Same with the favourite who lines up here. He couuld prove to have a great opening handicap mark but at 6/4 against some consistant sorts around this track, you would have to be wary of this. I think all jump racing enthusiasts can agree than CHESIL BEACH BOY hasn't had the rub of the green with his 'lack-lusture' runs under one of his jockeys. His course form is 111 and he is a worthy bet in this contest.
3.35 - A Maidn Hurdle which doesn't really catch my eye. An each-way selection in FUHGEDDABOUDIT is selected. The two places behind Chatterbox the last two runs were reasonable runs and nothing special appears today. He could take this or a place, wont be too far away I shouldn't think. The 4.00 race doesn't catch my eye either and will be left alone.
4.40 Sumdancer is out of form and ist just making up the numbers. Ran no race at Fontwell yesterday and is dismissed. Next to knowhere had a long lay-off the race before last time so a poor run was excused but no real form for a while, his win at Catterick nothing special back in January 2012 and himself and Sumdancer will be battling against each other for the bronze medal. This is a tight race by the looks of it. LITTLE JIMMY has 5 years younger of his rival Sawpit Supreme and a stone too with reason heavy ground wins at Lingfield the last twice against a consistant sort of David Bridgewater's who finally got his head in front last time at Market Rasen. A slight preference is for the former as he is a tad un-exsposed and looks like he might have a little bit left to hit the hat-trick, although Sawpit Supreme could make this an Interesting one.
5.10 Venetian Lad ran a brave race yesterday and if he is to line up today, I'd expect it to be too much for him. My Jay Dee who is a locally owned and trained horse by me is up against it and is passed over. From my early days in racing, Whispering Jack from what I remember was a gutsy horse who used to be with Charlie Mann (excuse me if I'm wrong) and on his best form wouldn't be too far away but I think that his alst two runs shows his love for the game is not with him at the moment. Sulpius has been revitalised over the last few seasons, from going from running in selling hurdles, to running a distance 2nd to Simonsig. Looks to be in great form and can run well in this. My preference however at the prices is SPECIAL ROBON. The Venetia Williams horse has shown good form over the distance and his last run is excused. Dropping in class and the better ground, he is likely to have an improved run today. Whether he will be good enough that is the question.
With todays bumper, Pure Oxygen, Half-Brother to the late Best Mate makes his debut for Paul Nicholls. I wont be staying to watch the last race but I wish him luck!
Thanks for reading, please send me a tweet with thoughts to blue_bajan or email me at [email protected] - Be Lucky :)
2.00 - The top horse Backhomeinderry hasn't had promising form over his recent handicap runs and Gleannacrem who is out of the handicap ran a poor rac ebehind Bellflower Boy aat odds of 200/1 last time out. Those two are passed over easily. Royal Peak who is the paper favourite hasn't showed much in his first 3 runs but steps up in trip today. I would like to see a bit more before picking this one. Could be a worthy winner however. Waarid has a 1038 day lay-off to overcome but has a few consistant runs next to his name. A maiden over hurdles still and a long lay-off convinces me that these two things tempt me to avoid him. Ceepeege is a course winner but he isn't one to rely on. The two I would like to do at the prices are FASHION WEEK who will enjoy the conditions after running on bad ground last twice and KEY TO MILAN who will be suited by the track, and although the step up in trip might prove a bit too much, but is more of a reliable sort than most and could figure.
2.30 - A small 4 runner race that includes some really nice sorts.The one runner we can dismiss is the winning pointer Midnight Whisper. Although he has a first and a second to his name, his hurdles form has been nothing special and looks like the early price of 25/1 is right for him. Palace Jester was a horse that wouldn't be a bad bet for Jonjo O'niell the last few seasons and he figures for David Pipe for the first time. He has entries at Cheltenham next week which could prove a good sign. With that in mind, he wouldn't be dismissed lightly but his previous chase form has been rather dull and I think his future runs will be a tad more successful for the 8 year old. The two that head the market are Ruben Cotter and Danimix. Both likeable wins for the two last time out, Ruben Cotter onviously not having a long career over hurdles and is a nice sort where Danimix will enjoy the ground. Not much of a price for RUBEN COTTER and I probably wont get too stuck in at his current odds (4/7) He looks to have a promising career and a forecast for the top two could be in-line.
3.00 - Again we rule out the top and bottom runners. Tiger O'Toole looks handicapped out of this and although Mighty Monty goes well fresh, this race is quite competitative and is some way behind a few of these on OR's. One of the selections that I have just looked at, remembered its previous course runs and looking at 'Right handed long galloping tracks', THE PIER form 'sticks out' quite well actually. Ran at the weekend, losing nothing in defeat and I dont see a reason why the track and conditions today with the young Anthony Fox claiming 10lbs can make him run a bad race. Looks very eye-catching indeed. Dragon's Den is behind Jumps Road on form and with no real reason to switch the form, he is overooked. The Paul Nicholls runner Suerte Al Salto still looks to be learning and he was a beaten favourite on his last run. No value at the moment there. Same with the favourite who lines up here. He couuld prove to have a great opening handicap mark but at 6/4 against some consistant sorts around this track, you would have to be wary of this. I think all jump racing enthusiasts can agree than CHESIL BEACH BOY hasn't had the rub of the green with his 'lack-lusture' runs under one of his jockeys. His course form is 111 and he is a worthy bet in this contest.
3.35 - A Maidn Hurdle which doesn't really catch my eye. An each-way selection in FUHGEDDABOUDIT is selected. The two places behind Chatterbox the last two runs were reasonable runs and nothing special appears today. He could take this or a place, wont be too far away I shouldn't think. The 4.00 race doesn't catch my eye either and will be left alone.
4.40 Sumdancer is out of form and ist just making up the numbers. Ran no race at Fontwell yesterday and is dismissed. Next to knowhere had a long lay-off the race before last time so a poor run was excused but no real form for a while, his win at Catterick nothing special back in January 2012 and himself and Sumdancer will be battling against each other for the bronze medal. This is a tight race by the looks of it. LITTLE JIMMY has 5 years younger of his rival Sawpit Supreme and a stone too with reason heavy ground wins at Lingfield the last twice against a consistant sort of David Bridgewater's who finally got his head in front last time at Market Rasen. A slight preference is for the former as he is a tad un-exsposed and looks like he might have a little bit left to hit the hat-trick, although Sawpit Supreme could make this an Interesting one.
5.10 Venetian Lad ran a brave race yesterday and if he is to line up today, I'd expect it to be too much for him. My Jay Dee who is a locally owned and trained horse by me is up against it and is passed over. From my early days in racing, Whispering Jack from what I remember was a gutsy horse who used to be with Charlie Mann (excuse me if I'm wrong) and on his best form wouldn't be too far away but I think that his alst two runs shows his love for the game is not with him at the moment. Sulpius has been revitalised over the last few seasons, from going from running in selling hurdles, to running a distance 2nd to Simonsig. Looks to be in great form and can run well in this. My preference however at the prices is SPECIAL ROBON. The Venetia Williams horse has shown good form over the distance and his last run is excused. Dropping in class and the better ground, he is likely to have an improved run today. Whether he will be good enough that is the question.
With todays bumper, Pure Oxygen, Half-Brother to the late Best Mate makes his debut for Paul Nicholls. I wont be staying to watch the last race but I wish him luck!
Thanks for reading, please send me a tweet with thoughts to blue_bajan or email me at [email protected] - Be Lucky :)